Minnetonka, Minnesota 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

438
FXUS63 KMPX 311147
AFDMPX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
647 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Poor air quality from Canadian wildfire smoke continues into
  Saturday.

- There are several small chances for rain starting Sunday, but
  the overall weather patterns looks fairly dry into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 314 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025

TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. Early morning satellite imagery showed
mostly clear skies across the region, but surface obs had
reduced visibility owing to the smokey/hazy conditions that will
be with us through the rest of the week. An area of surface
high pressure was centered to the north along the international
border. Weak winds with anti-cyclonic flow will bring dry
conditions across the Upper Midwest. An Air Quality Alert
remains in effect through Saturday afternoon as the current air
mass will be fairly stagnant.

Looking ahead, the surface high slowly migrates eastward on
Sunday, and return southerly flow on the back side will slightly
higher dewpoints across western Minnesota. With this increased
moisture will come small chances (20 to 30 percent) for showers
and thunderstorms. However, the upper level support is lacking
as winds aloft remain fairly light, less than 30 kts. In this
regime, expect to see small chances for rain each day given the
uncertainty of small, subtle shortwaves, but the main takeaway
is that the overall weather pattern looks dry going into next
week. The only exception would be if a stronger shortwave
develops and moves across the region, which in that case could
lead to more widespread precipitation. Regardless, the risk for
hazardous weather in the form of heavy rain or strong storms, is
very low.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY/...
Issued at 644 AM CDT Thu Jul 31 2025

VFR/MVFR conditions throughout due to limited visibility from
smoke/haze today and tonight. Winds will be light, with
generally an easterly component.

KMSP...
No additional weather-related aviation concerns.

/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. Wind S 5-10kts.
SUN...VFR. Wind S 5-10kts.
MON...VFR with small chance (20 percent) -TSRA. Wind S 5-10kts.

&&

.MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MN...None.
WI...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...JRB
AVIATION...JRB